The Jacksonville Jaguars, coming off a heart braking failed comeback effort in Carolina, head back to the friendly confines of TIAA Bank Field this week.
They'll host the New Orleans Saints for a week six showdown. The Saints are 4-1 and in first place in their division. But without Drew Brees, the Saints appear to be beatable. At least that's what Vegas thinks.
The Jaguars are home favorites and a projected to win by 1 to 1.5 points depending on where you look. While it's essentially a pick-em game, I wouldn't be surprised to see the money shift towards the Saints as we get closer to Sunday.
The Jaguars' offense should be able to move the chains against the Saints' defense: lead by Gardner Minshew, the Jaguars have not been slowed down on their home field. But the Saints' run defense has tightened up in recent weeks and could make life difficult for Leonard Fournette and company.
On the other side of the ball, the Jaguars' defense could have a rebound effort. Back-to-back weak efforts on the defensive side of the ball are extremely rare under the current regime. But the Saints boast two of the most dangerous offensive weapons in the game, running back Alvin Kamara and receiver Michael Thomas.
If I were a betting man (I'm not), this is one I'd stay away from. Matchups on both sides of the ball are tough to predict. The Jaguars are tough on defense at home, but can they get Alvin Kamara to the ground after letting Christian McCaffrey run wild last week? The Saints have a talented defensive line, but is it enough to slow down Minshew's magic?
Gun to my head, who am I taking? Probably the Jaguars. The Saints' offensive weapons are frightening, but the Jaguars' defense is too prideful and talented to put up another stinker. With Minshew rolling, that'll be enough to get the Jaguars a much needed week six victory.
Who are you taking in this one?
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