Blake Bortles is coming off of his best performance of the season. Sure, he didn't throw for a million yards, but he was efficient and found the end zone 3 times (twice through the air, once on the ground). Now he heads to the Windy City to face a Bears defense that has given up only 6 passing TDs in 4 games on the year. Bortles has been matchup proof so far in 2016 and still remains cheaper in DFS leagues than many QBs with comparable numbers. The Bears have only picked the ball off 3 times this season - Bortles will be looking for a second straight contest with no turnovers. It's highly possible that you could find a better play this week at QB, as the Bears haven't given up a ton of yards or TDs through the air in 2016, but you can really never go wrong with Bortles, who in his worse performance the year still threw 2 TD passes.
Allen Robinson, like his QB, appears to be finding himself after a slow start. In the past two contests Robinson has caught 12 passes and scored 3 TDs. The Bears secondary has been suspect at best against opposing receivers + A-Rob has a massive 17 red zone targets so far in 2016. Allen Robinson is a no brainer - if he's on your team you start him. If you're playing DFS, he's a good bit cheaper than some guys with similar numbers and has a favorable matchup. Take this one to the bank.
T.J. Yeldon has quietly been very impressive in 2016. Sure, he's had two good games and two bad games so far in terms of fantasy, but the Jaguars offensive line looks like it coming around and they'll be facing a Bears defense that is giving up nearly 120 yards a game on the ground. Plus, he's seemingly taken control of the lead running back role for the Jaguars. Plus, he's gotten a steady dose of targets coming out of the backfield, which makes him very attractive in PPR leagues. If Yeldon is on your squad he's definitely worth a flex play this week. In DFS, he's could be a really good value play with his lost cost and high ceiling.
Jaguars D/ST is a safe start this week. As long as I've been writing the Jaguars Fantasy Football Start 'Em Sit 'Em, I don't think I've ever been able to honestly say that. The Bears are without their starting QB, one of their starting receivers and have a banged up backfield. They're 30th in the NFL in points per game. As much as this is about the Bears not having a great offense, it's also about how well the Jaguars defense is playing. They've scored double digit fantasy points (ESPN Standard leagues) in consecutive weeks and look to be one or the more talented young defenses in the league. Start 'Em!!!
While it's very possible that Julius Thomas returns to action with a big game, he just hasn't shown the consistency to be a reliable fantasy starter. He missed the Jaguars last game against the Colts and the game before that he only managed 13 yards on 2 catches. Combine his inconsistent play and health with the fact that the Bears have been impressive against opposing TEs this year and you do not have a winning formula. In some leagues you'll be forced to start him if he's on your team, and it could pay off for you, but I'm betting that it won't.
In the two games that Chris Ivory has played in since returning from a mysterious illness, he hasn't gotten the workload that many imagined when the team signed him earlier in 2016. He has a combined 20 carries in those two games and hasn't done much with the opportunities he's been given, gaining only 43 yards on those 20 carries. This could be Ivory's break out week against a lack luster Bears defense, but with Yeldon playing at a high level I would stay away from Ivory.
Allen Hurns is a great player and leader for the Jaguars. But the yards and TDs simply haven't been there for him in 2016. Now, the Bears don't have a great secondary to say the least, but Hurns hasn't recorded more than 5 catches or 75 yards in a game this season and only has 1 TD. He simply can't be relied upon to help your team at this point. I'm guessing that this trend will reverse itself at some point, but until it does I simply cannot advise you to start him.
Everyone else needs to be benched/dropped. Marqise Lee has been decent as a receiver and remains healthy, but is still not fantasy relevant. Rashad Greene is pretty much only valuable as a punt returner. If you're desperate you might gamble on him getting a big return and racking up some points for you. Bryan Walters and Arrelious Benn have been quiet in 2016, and while Marcedes Lewis and Neal Sterling have shown flashes they are also unplayable.
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