The draft is just one week away (!!!), and trade rumors are swirling. Will the Lions move down from the third overall spot? Might the Panthers trade up or down from seven? Could the Falcons move up from 16 to land their man?
With all these trade rumors in mind, I've put together four potential round one trade scenarios for the Jacksonville Jaguars. One thing to keep in mind is that the Jaguars will likely have an additional first or second-round selection, pending the trade of star pass-rusher Yannick Ngakoue. That new asset could change the entire course of the draft for the Jaguars.
Since Dave Caldwell took over as the Jaguars' GM in 2013, he's never traded up or down in the first round. But his penchant for trading picks in the second round and beyond, shows that he's not afraid to pull the trigger if he has a strong conviction. Having 12 or more draft selections could ultimately be a tendency breaker for Caldwell and the Jaguars.
Let's take a look at four trade scenarios for the Jaguars in the first round.
TRADE UP TO SEVEN
Jaguars Send: Pick 9, 116, 137
Panthers Send: Pick 7
The Panthers currently hold the seventh overall pick and are in the beginning stages of a massive rebuild. It's possible, if not likely, that the availability of a physical freak like Isaiah Simmons or CJ Henderson would lead Carolina to stand pat at seven. But the Panthers are a team that has been rumored to be interested in trading down, and it would make sense for them to do so, acquiring as much draft capital as possible for Matt Rhule's rebuilding of Carolina's roster. Trading up to seven would only be in the Jaguars' best interest if there's a player that they love who falls past his projected draft spot. Dave Caldwell may feel he needs to get in front of the Cardinals or another team trying to trade up to land his guy. The Jaguars could give up picks nine and 73 to move up to seven. Or they could give up pick nine and multiple day three picks.
TRADE DOWN TO 14
Jaguars Send: Pick 9
Buccaneers Send: Pick 14, 76
According to Albert Breer, the Jaguars have kicked around the idea of trading down. This could be a perfect scenario. If the Buccaneers are keen on adding a specific player to help Tom Brady and company make a deep run in the playoffs, they could move up into the top ten. And for the Jaguars, moving down to 14 would still allow them to draft one of the top three receivers in the draft. With the emphasis on QBs early, it's possible another projected top-ten pick could slide all the way to 14 as well.
TRADE DOWN TO 16
Jaguars Send: Pick 9
Falcons Send: Pick 16, 78, 119
This is the farthest I could see the Jaguars potentially trading down. And it would take quite an offer for Caldwell and co. to pull the trigger. But if the Jaguars move down to 16, they could potentially add another third and fourth-round pick to their arsenal. In doing so, they would have enough ammunition to trade up multiple times on day two of the draft. From the Falcons' perspective, they're interested in trading up, and their GM, Thomas Dimitroff, has shown in the past he has the metal to move up for a player he has eyes for. It doesn't hurt that Caldwell and Dimitroff are close, as Caldwell cut his teeth in Atlanta before taking the Jaguars' GM position.
TRADE DOWN TO 22
Jaguars Send: Pick 20
Vikings Send: Pick 22, 105
The Vikings traded route-running ace Stephon Diggs to the Bills this offseason. They may be looking to replace their star WR early in the draft. If one of the top three receivers slips to 20, the Vikings could look to move up a couple of spots. They have plenty of ammo with two third-round picks and seven picks on day three, so trading up at some point would be a logical move for the Vikings. The Jaguars could land another third-rounder, which they could use to select a player they're fond of or use in a trade-up scenario later on.
While Dave Caldwell has never moved off a first-round pick, this could be the year. With plenty of teams looking to maneuver in the draft, it's likely that the Jaguars at least discuss a potential first-round trade or two.
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